According to the printed Sports Illustrated I was reading on the crapper (so no link), the average NFL kickoff last year went to the five, so in theory this year -- with the kickoff point moved forward five yards -- the average should be right at the goal line. Anecdotally, most of the ones I saw last week were going five or more yards deep. It seems to me that the kickers are kicking lower to drive the ball to the back of the end zone, which also means that if the returner does run it back, he's likely to have more space -- thus more long runbacks than usual.
I haven't read anyone else offering that explanation though.
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